"D-Day" for Serbia; Vučić sent a strong message; If China votes against...

Media from Bosnia and Herzegovina claim that the number of so-called sponsors of this resolution has increased from 28 to 38, and analysts estimate that any number below 90 votes would be a success for Serbia.

The voting rule is such that a simple majority of the present member countries of the UN General Assembly is required for the adoption of votes, with abstentions not being counted.

Therefore, if there are more votes for than against, the Resolution on Srebrenica will be voted.

By the way, the UN General Assembly has a total of 193 member countries, with the fact that not all countries are expected to be present at the session.

President of Serbia, Aleksandar Vučić, addressed the panel discussion entitled "We speak because they can't - voices that need to be heard", where the victims of the war in Bosnia and Herzegovina presented their testimonies.

"We have never been silent about the terrible events in Srebrenica. We arrested and extradited everyone who was individually responsible for the terrible crimes that happened in Srebrenica. But, my question is: You heard these people, every one of them referred to that resolution. These are not politicians like us, they are all going to feel very bad if you pass this resolution. Because they are all victims and suddenly they will have a mark on their foreheads, by becoming part of the genocidal people you say "that's not true, we adopted the amendments", then my question is: Why are you bringing that resolution? If it's about individual responsibility, who will be responsible for those horrors? There are no individuals in the draft resolution. Why did we all adopt that general resolution in 2015? So that we could have even more of those special resolutions that could appear in the future," said Vučić.
 

Zoran Milivojević, a diplomat, points out for "Blic" that the situation regarding support for the Resolution on Srebrenica changed significantly after Serbia resisted its adoption.

"There is a mass of countries that go with the sponsors, that is, the collective West." The members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation should also be counted there. Before Serbia's resistance, there must have been more than 100 countries supporting the Resolution on Srebrenica. When Serbia resisted, there was a change in the attitude of some countries, and the voting was postponed twice because the West does not have as many guaranteed votes as it wanted," Milivojević analyzes.

As he explains, if China votes against the resolution in that case, it will automatically withdraw another 10 to 15 countries.

"Russia will, of course, be against the resolution. If India still abstains, it would mean that we have a collective South against a collective West#, Milivojević explains.

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The experienced diplomat adds that it will be interesting to see how many countries will show up for the vote.

"Certainly, there will be countries that will not show up or will "forget" to show up. At least 10 to 15 countries will not be present at the vote. In this way, they will try to get rid of Western pressure. It is also possible that some Islamic countries will vote against, such as Algeria, Egypt or the UAE. Those countries will not vote against because they are against the resolution, but because they are against the collective West," predicts Milivojević.

There were also reports that Greece and Romania could change their stance at the last minute.

"Greece is a member of NATO that is in debt and follows the policy of the West. We will see how well it can resist the pressure. On the other hand, Hungary and Slovakia lead a sovereignist policy in Europe and it would not be strange if they did not vote for the resolution. If Greece and Romania also join, it would be Serbia's success," Milivojević assesses.

As he says, even the previous resistance to the resolution is a success.

"There is a danger that after the adoption of this resolution we will enter into a process that is unpredictable because more countries will appear with their claims and with new resolutions," concludes Milivojević.