angela
pre 15 godina
THERE ARE NO BOSNIANS THEY are Serbs or Croats who have accepted islam.
Los Angeles Times Syndicate
Sunday, September 8 1996
Excerpts from page C07
The Washington Post
(Taken without permission - for fair use only)
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By the end of the year, we shall be facing a moment of truth in Bosnia: It no longer will be possible to gloss over the incompatibility between the military and political provisions of the Dayton Accords, which brought about the cease-fire.
There are pressures to use NATO (and American) troops to enforce the political provisions, and there is a presidential commitment to withdraw our troops by Dec. 29. The looming crisis has four components:
The political provisions of the Dayton Accords require free elections, a unified Bosnia-Herzegovina, free movement within Bosnia and the right of refugees to return to their homes. None of these goals is achievable without the massive use of force.
At the same time, by establishing cease-fire lines patrolled by NATO, the military provisions of the agreement have the practical consequence of protecting ethnic enclaves and therefore are an obstacle to the proclaimed goal of unification.
Normally, elections presuppose the existence of a country. In Bosnia, elections are projected to create a country from among three deeply hostile ethnic groups. Not surprisingly, each of those groups is manipulating the electoral process, not to encourage pluralism but to unify itself for a showdown with the hated neighbor.
Amid this turmoil, the president's stated policy remains that U.S. troops will be withdrawn by Dec. 29. The other NATO nations have declared that they will follow suit.
If these contradictions are not remedied before the scheduled American withdrawal, Bosnia is likely to blow up again.
Twenty thousand American soldiers find themselves at the center of this looming crisis. At the moment, things seem calm because we are in the eye of the hurricane, but as the various deadlines approach, the success of the U.S. military deployment -- and the of our forces -- will depend on answers to these questions: What is to be the ultimate balance between our military and political objectives? The role of our forces in bringing about a political settlement? What, indeed, are we trying to accomplish?
Bosnia policy has reached this impasse because of a tendency to pursue immediate goals without assessing their long-range consequences.
In 1991 the Bush administration aborted a plan nearly agreed on between the Bosnian ethnic groups that would have created a loose confederation amounting to partition. The reason for quashing the plan was the fear that de facto partition of Bosnia might become a model for the breakup of the Soviet Union, endangering Gorbachev's reforms.
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The writer, a former secretary of state, is president of Kissinger Associates, an international consulting firm that has clients with business interests in many countries abroad.
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